Will at least one location in mainland Spain see totality during the August 12, 2026 total solar eclipse?

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YES if an official ESA or NASA mission status update or press release, or reporting by major international news organisations citing official mission sources, confirms Sophie Adenot physically touched down (landed or splashed down) on Earth and that the landing date/time was on or after September 1, 2026 and no later than September 30, 2026 (CEST). Announced planned landing dates without a confirmed touchdown do not count. Otherwise NO.
Sources used to create this market
Sophie Adenot's return hinges on official confirmation, and with the landing window still open, chances look slim for anything before September 1. I doubt it will happen in time.

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