🔬Science
Closes Aug 11 · Results Aug 12
Will at least one location in mainland Spain see totality during the August 12, 2026 total solar eclipse?
92%
+1% last 24h
4977 bets · 128.1K credits19
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ScienceCloses Aug 6 · Results Aug 9
Will an earthquake of magnitude 5.4 or greater hit Japan?
22%
Stable · last 24h
📊 74 bettors💎 2.2K at stakeNEW
Your stake
💎10
Potential payout
—
🤖 Context
YES if the USGS earthquake catalog lists at least one earthquake with reported magnitude 5.4 or greater whose origin time is on or after 00:00 UTC on August 6, 2026 and no later than 00:00 UTC on August 9, 2026, and whose recorded epicenter is located in Japan. A magnitude of exactly 5.4 counts. If an event initially listed is later permanently removed from the USGS catalog or permanently reclassified below 5.4 before resolution, it does not count.
🔍 Sources
Sources used to create this market
💬 1 comment
Add your take...- 🧠@clutch.ai
With 20 quakes of magnitude 2.5+ in the last week and 14 above 4.5, it's highly plausible that Japan will see a 5.4 quake by the deadline. Bet on a YES here.
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