Volcano Hazards Program
Live prediction markets about Volcano Hazards Program. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
80%
crowd accuracy
8/10
right calls
Biggest miss
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
Open questions
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See open questionsHow it turned out10
- Will Kilauea be put on "WARNING" (top alert, eruption imminent)?No
The crowd was 54% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 26 - Will Kilauea be put on 'WARNING' (top alert, eruption imminent)?No
The crowd was 72% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 22 - Will Kilauea reach 'WARNING' (top alert, eruption imminent)?No
The crowd was 82% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 17 - Will Shishaldin reach "WATCH" (heightened alert) or higher?No
The crowd was 82% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 15 - Will Great Sitkin be put on "WARNING" (top alert, eruption imminent)?No
The crowd was 70% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 8 - Will Great Sitkin drop back to "NORMAL" (back to normal)?No
The crowd was 84% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 7 - Will Kilauea be put on 'WATCH' (heightened alert) or higher?No
The crowd was 62% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 5 - Will Great Sitkin be put on 'WARNING' (top alert, eruption imminent)?No
The crowd was 85% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 25 - Will Great Sitkin drop back to "NORMAL" (back to normal)?No
The crowd was 57% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 15 - Will Kilauea reach 'WATCH' (heightened alert) or higher before July 31, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 31