tropical cyclone
Live prediction markets about tropical cyclone. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
83%
crowd accuracy
5/6
right calls
Biggest miss
Will the low-pressure system from SMN's 96-hour forecast make landfall on Mexico's Pacific coast?
NoThe crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
Open questions
Nothing open on tropical cyclone right now
New questions drop every day. Check back soon, or see what's open elsewhere.
See open questionsHow it turned out6
- Will the low-pressure system from SMN's 96-hour forecast make landfall on Mexico's Pacific coast?No
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 28 - Will the tropical wave 'onda tropical núm. 29' be designated a tropical cyclone?No
The crowd was 71% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 28 - Will any northern Philippine province declare a formal 'state of calamity' over the monsoon rains and the two cyclones?Yes
The crowd was 77% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 18 - Will the system the SMN called 'onda tropical núm. 25' be classified as a tropical cyclone by the NHC or CONAGUA?No
The crowd was 58% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 14 - Will the cyclonic circulation off western Baja California Sur become a tropical cyclone?No
The crowd was 77% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 12 - Will the system 'onda tropical núm. 24' be classified as a tropical cyclone?No
The crowd was 66% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 10