La foule était sûre à 67 %, et elle s'est trompée.
67%
Cote finale
“Sur polymarket ils sont plus precis ... "Elon Musk publiera-t-il 40 à 64 tweets du 3 au 5 septembre 2026 ?" Meme si cest stable a 51% il y aura la convention de mi mandat, il l’explosera probablement”
Pourquoi : Extracted condition: fewer than 40 total main-feed posts, quote posts, or reposts by @elonmusk on X between 2026-09-03 12:00 PM ET and 2026-09-05 12:00 PM ET inclusive. Matched observation(s) from the supplied Polymarket data: the mirrored market 'Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?' is closed/resolved with outcome prices Yes=0, No=1 (i.e. Polymarket resolved to NO). Supporting observation: the '65-89 tweets' bucket for the same window resolved Yes=1, No=0, indicating the Post Counter recorded the count in the 65–89 range. Comparison: Polymarket's official resolution for the <40 question is NO (and the 65–89 bin resolved YES), so the condition 'fewer than 40' is not met. Per the rule to resolve identically to the mirrored Polymarket market, this market resolves NO.
Source : clutch.vipDénoué le 7 sept.