O Resumo · 13 de agosto de 2026

Por quê: Independent reports on August 13, 2026 state that a CNTE Section 22 delegation entered Palacio Nacional around 11:00 and that President Claudia Sheinbaum was meeting with them there, confirming an in-person meeting that began within the 11:00–13:00 Mexico City window.

Por quê: Extracted condition: Binance BTC/USDT last executed trade price at or before 2026-08-13 22:00:00 UTC >= USD 64,000. Target instant: 2026-08-13 22:00:00 UTC. Supplied observation matching that instant: 2026-08-13 22:00 UTC price = 63474 USD. Comparison: 63474 < 64000, so the threshold was not met. Therefore the market resolves NO.

Por quê: Extracted condition: The market resolves YES if Kalshi ticker KXITFMATCH-26AUG13ROBGEE-ROB is finalized with outcome YES (Nicolas Robert recorded as winner of Robert vs Geerts, M25 Koksijde Round of 16, after at least one ball played). Target: Kalshi's official finalized result for that ticker. Observed value(s): supplied Kalshi data shows "Official status: finalized" and "Official finalized result: NO" for ticker KXITFMATCH-26AUG13ROBGEE-ROB. Comparison: the official finalized result is NO (not YES), so per the market's rule this contract resolves NO.

Por quê: Extracted condition: Market resolves YES if Kalshi ticker KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26AUG13BUTMIL-MIL is finalized with outcome YES (Daniel Milavsky recorded as winner of the Butvilas vs Milavsky Round Of 16 match at the 2026 ATP Challenger Brownsburg, after a ball has been played). Target: Kalshi market finalization for that exact ticker. Observed value (from supplied Kalshi ticker state): Official status: finalized; Official finalized result: YES. Comparison: official finalized result (YES) matches the required YES outcome in the rule, so the market resolves YES. Decisive evidence is Kalshi's finalized result for the ticker.

Por quê: Extracted condition: the number of main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts by X account @elonmusk with timestamps on or after 2026-08-04 12:00:00 PM ET and on or before 2026-08-11 12:00:00 PM ET is between 120 and 139 inclusive. Target window: 2026-08-04 12:00 PM ET through 2026-08-11 12:00 PM ET (inclusive). Observed value(s): the supplied Polymarket official market state shows the 'Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?' market as resolved (closed) with outcome prices Yes=0, No=1. The supplied data states that a resolved market with outcome prices 1/0 has officially resolved to the outcome priced 1; here the outcome priced 1 is 'No'. Comparison and conclusion: Polymarket officially resolved the 120-139 band to 'No', so the condition (count in 120–139) is false. Therefore this market resolves NO.

Por quê: Extracted condition: The first Nasdaq screener reading at or after 2026-08-13T15:00:00+00:00 must show Apple Inc. (AAPL) with a strictly greater company-level market cap than NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA). Target instant/window: first Nasdaq screener reading on/after 2026-08-13 15:00 UTC. Observed authoritative screener reading: 2026-08-13 16:00 UTC lists NVDA market cap = $5,423,728,200,000 and AAPL market cap = $4,429,260,659,100. Comparison: AAPL (4,429,260,659,100) is less than NVDA (5,423,728,200,000), so the condition (AAPL strictly greater than NVDA) is not met. Therefore outcome: NO.

Por quê: Multiple independent, credible sources in the supplied evidence report that Google publicly unveiled the Pixel 11 series on August 12, 2026. Google’s official product blog post is titled “The Pixel 11 series…” and explicitly names Pixel 11 / Pixel 11 Pro / Pixel 11 Pro XL; independent outlets (TechCrunch, The Verge, Ars Technica) likewise report the Pixel 11 lineup and preorders on 2026-08-12. These corroborating reports establish that at least one consumer product whose official product name contains the sequence "Pixel 11" was publicly announced by that date.

Por quê: Extracted condition: Mexico City's recorded daily maximum temperature on the local calendar day 2026-08-12 must be >= 24.0 °C. Source data (Open-Meteo) shows temperature_2m_max for 2026-08-12 = 23.9 °C (marked recorded). The rule gives Open-Meteo's numeric daily maximum priority if it publishes one; Open-Meteo did publish 23.9 °C. Comparison: 23.9 °C < 24.0 °C, so the threshold was not met. Therefore outcome = NO.

Por quê: Extracted condition: Open‑Meteo daily maximum temperature in New York for the local calendar day 2026-08-12 >= 29 °C. Open‑Meteo data (retrieved 2026-08-13) reports temperature_2m_max for 2026-08-12 = 30.8 °C (recorded). Comparison: 30.8 °C >= 29 °C → condition met, so YES.

Por quê: Extracted condition: Binance BTC/USDT last executed trade price at or before 2026-08-13T10:00:00Z must be >= $64,500. Target instant: 2026-08-13T10:00:00Z (UTC). Observed value from supplied data: 2026-08-13 10:00 UTC price = 63782.65 USDT. Comparison: 63782.65 < 64500, so the condition is not met. Therefore outcome = NO.

Por quê: The supplied evidence includes contemporary reporting that U.S. forces carried out kinetic strikes inside Iran within the question’s window. The Critical Threats (ISW/CTP) July 30 report explicitly states “The United States conducted a wave of strikes in Iran on July 29,” listing IRGC targets across Iranian provinces. Task & Purpose’s timeline (citing CENTCOM) also reports that U.S. forces carried out dozens of strikes overnight around July 29–30. These independent reports establish that one or more U.S. kinetic strikes occurred inside Iran during 2026-07-27 to 2026-08-09 (earliest reported strike date 2026-07-29).

Por quê: Extracted condition: Open-Meteo daily maximum temperature for Madrid on local date 2026-08-12 >= 38.0 °C. Observed value from the supplied Open-Meteo data: 2026-08-12 daily max = 37.2 °C (marked as recorded). Comparison: 37.2 °C < 38.0 °C, so the condition is not met. Open-Meteo value for 2026-08-12 is a recorded observation and therefore decisive.

Por quê: Extracted condition: Open‑Meteo daily maximum temperature for Paris on 2026-08-12 >= 36.0 °C. Open‑Meteo recorded value for 2026-08-12: 35.4 °C (recorded). Comparison: 35.4 °C < 36.0 °C, so the threshold was not met → NO.

Por quê: Extracted condition: The market resolves YES only if Kalshi's market page for ticker KXWTAMATCH-26AUG11SRAJAC-JAC is marked "finalized" and the final settlement shown there is YES. Target observation: the official finalized result for that exact Kalshi ticker. Observations from supplied data: Official status: finalized. Official finalized result: NO. Comparison: the ticker is finalized but the final settlement is NO, so the condition (final settlement = YES) is not met. Therefore outcome = NO.