Destaque
A galera estava 89% confiante, e acertou.
58%
Probabilidade final
Por quê: Premise (VoteHub market source): The VoteHub “Do Americans approve of Donald Trump?” page shows a Live, time-weighted average with Approve: 37.9% (source: votehub.com/polls/). Premise (same page): The polls listed that feed this average have field dates ranging from July 6 to August 3, i.e., within the 30 days ending August 4, 2026, indicating the active average is based on the trailing ~30-day window. Inference: The trailing 30‑day Approve average on August 4, 2026 is the live Approve value shown, 37.9%. Conclusion: 37.9% is not strictly greater than 40.0%, so the answer is NO.
Fonte: votehub.com31638 💎 apostados1479 apostadores5 comentários
Ver o mercadoResolvido em 5 de ago.