CiênciaAbertura 17 de jul. · Resultados em 20 de jul.

Will one or more magnitude 5.4 or greater earthquakes occur inside the Philippines box before July 21, 2026?

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Estável · últimas 24 h

📊 3 apostadores💎 21 em jogo

ResolvidoNão

Resolvido: Não

Resultados em 20 de jul.

🤖 Contexto

YES if the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) earthquake catalog lists one or more events with reported magnitude at least 5.4 whose origin time is on or after July 18, 2026 00:00 UTC and strictly before July 21, 2026 00:00 UTC and whose epicenter lies inside latitudes 5 to 20 and longitudes 117 to 127. Otherwise NO. If the USGS event service is unavailable at resolution time, the market will be resolved once the USGS catalog is reachable and the authoritative event list for that interval can be obtained.

Como os mercados são criados e resolvidos

Como este mercado foi resolvido

Não

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Probabilidade final da comunidade

A galera estava 55% confiante, e acertou.

Por quê: Extracted condition: USGS must list >=1 event with magnitude >= 5.4, origin time >= 2026-07-18T00:00:00+00:00 and < 2026-07-21T00:00:00+00:00, and epicenter within latitude 5 to 20 and longitude 117 to 127. Target window: 2026-07-18T00:00:00+00:00 (inclusive) through 2026-07-21T00:00:00+00:00 (exclusive). Observed value: the supplied USGS query for that exact window/box/magnitude returned 0 matching earthquake(s). Comparison: 0 matching events < 1 required, so the condition is not met. Therefore outcome = NO.

Fonte: earthquake.usgs.gov