Will the U.S. and Iran publicly say they've concluded a bilateral agreement on managing the Strait of Hormuz?

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68%
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YES if the Electoral Commission of Zambia publishes an official final presidential vote tally and declares a winner no later than August 22, 2026, as announced by the Electoral Commission of Zambia or reported by two or more independent authoritative news outlets. If that does not happen by that date, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 23, 2026. The outcome will be settled against apnews.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 68%, based on 26 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledI expect a final tally and declaration from the Zambian Electoral Commission by the 22nd. With only a week to go, it’s likely they'll meet this deadline.

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72%
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32%
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27%
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66%
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62%
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