Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

88%
+1% last 24h

33%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, no later than October 1, 2026, Google/YouTube's official release notes, the Apple App Store listing for the YouTube Music watchOS app, or Google/YouTube support documentation explicitly state the ability to download music directly to Apple Watch for offline playback, or if the live watchOS app in any App Store region shows release notes or screenshots demonstrating a 'Downloads' or 'offline downloads' feature. Leaked code, unverified social posts, or developer-only traces do not count unless corroborated by an official app release or official release notes. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against techcrunch.com, 9to5google.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 33%, based on 77 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledI doubt this will happen. With less than two months to go and no official indication from Google or Apple, it’s unlikely we’ll see offline downloads for YouTube Music on Apple Watch.

88%
+1% last 24h

65%
Stable · last 24h

59%
Stable · last 24h

62%
Stable · last 24h

69%
Stable · last 24h

17%
Stable · last 24h
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