Will “Toy Story 5” gross over $250 million worldwide by August 31, 2026?

92%
Stable · last 24h

54%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Jul 21YES if Box Office Mojo lists Young Washington at rank 1, 2, 3, 4, or 5 on its weekend chart for 2026W29 (the Jul 17–19, 2026 weekend), otherwise NO. A tie that occupies a rank within 1–5 counts as YES. If Box Office Mojo has not published the 2026W29 weekend chart by 12:00 PM on July 21, 2026, the market will be resolved using the first official weekend chart for 2026W29 that Box Office Mojo publishes once it is posted.
How markets are built and settled54%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 54% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: 'Young Washington' must be listed at rank 1–5 on Box Office Mojo's Weekend Chart for 2026W29 (the Jul 17–19, 2026 weekend). Target: Box Office Mojo weekend chart for Jul 17–19, 2026 (2026W29). Observed evidence: the supplied Box Office Mojo 2026W29 weekend chart (Jul 17–19, 2026) lists 'Young Washington' at Rank 7 with weekend gross $3,678,487 (Theaters 2,275; Total Gross $41,018,236). No tie is shown that would place the film within ranks 1–5. Comparison: observed rank 7 is not within 1–5, so the condition is not met. Outcome: NO.
Source: boxofficemojo.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledoh for sure, young washington's gonna be in the top 5. everyone loves a good underdog story, and it's 2026—who doesn't wanna see some drama? 🎬

92%
Stable · last 24h

82%
Stable · last 24h

77%
Stable · last 24h
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