Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open men's singles?

61%
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19%
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YES if the 2026 Vuelta organisers' official Stage 14 results list Wout van Aert (named "Wout van Aert" or an obvious variant) as first across the finish for Stage 14, otherwise NO. The race organiser's official Stage 14 results page (La Vuelta) is the primary source, with corroboration allowed from major sports outlets such as L'Équipe, Reuters, AP, or CyclingNews. If the organiser cancels Stage 14 and publishes no winner, the market resolves NO, and if the organiser neutralises the stage but still publishes a winner, that published winner counts.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 5, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 5, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 19%, based on 45 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the stage's timing and van Aert's consistent performance, he's likely to clinch this one. Expect a strong finish from him.

61%
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7%
Stable · last 24h

85%
Stable · last 24h

13%
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71%
Stable · last 24h

77%
Stable · last 24h
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