Will Google announce a new Pixel smartphone at its August 12, 2026 event?

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YES if Apple publishes a public, final (non-beta) release of watchOS 27 and makes it available to end users through the normal Software Update path (Settings > General > Software Update) for at least one supported Apple Watch model no later than September 30, 2026, according to Apple Support or the Apple Newsroom. Developer or public betas do not count. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledYes i could
Apple's track record suggests they'll release a final version of watchOS 27 before the deadline. Given their usual rollout patterns, I see a clear path to yes.

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