Will voter turnout in Alberta's Oct 19 referendum be 50.0% or higher?

🤖 Context

YES if Elections Alberta's official referendum report, or ordinary reporting by two or more independent national news outlets quoting Elections Alberta, shows that total ballots cast divided by registered electors for the referendum on October 19, 2026 is at least 50.0%. Use the turnout figure as published by Elections Alberta, with 'ballots cast' including any rejected ballots. If the referendum is cancelled or declared void before Elections Alberta publishes an official turnout, the market resolves NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 20, 2026. The outcome will be settled against cbc.ca. For now, the crowd puts YES at 77%, based on 0 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

77%

Predictions made

0

Credits staked

0

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 12, 2026

Closes

Oct 20, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 20, 2026

Resolution source

cbc.ca

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 20, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 20, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 77% and NO 23%, based on 0 predictions and 0 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against cbc.ca once the outcome is known.

Is “Will voter turnout in Alberta's Oct 19 referendum be 50.0% or higher?” real-money betting?

No. “Will voter turnout in Alberta's Oct 19 referendum be 50.0% or higher?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.