Will Vladimir Putin and U.S. envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff publicly commit to formal negotiations to end the war in Ukraine?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than September 12, 2026, two or more independent authoritative news outlets report that the Kremlin and U.S. envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, or an official U.S. government representative, issued a joint statement or matching public communiques in which both sides explicitly commit to open formal negotiations to end hostilities in Ukraine. Reports of only exploratory talks, private discussions, or a unilateral offer from one side do not count. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 5, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 13, 2026. The outcome will be settled against apnews.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 37%, based on 12 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

37%

Predictions made

12

Credits staked

420

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 5, 2026

Closes

Sep 5, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 13, 2026

Resolution source

apnews.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 5, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 13, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 37% and NO 63%, based on 12 predictions and 420 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against apnews.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Vladimir Putin and U.S. envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff publicly commit to formal negotiations to end the war in Ukraine?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Vladimir Putin and U.S. envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff publicly commit to formal negotiations to end the war in Ukraine?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.