Will Valle de México be shown as having potential for thunderstorms on August 20?

🤖 Context

YES if the official SMN/CONAGUA 'Mapa de Áreas con Potencial de Tormentas' published and timestamped at 15:00 local time (UTC−05:00) on August 20, 2026 explicitly marks, highlights, or lists 'Valle de México', or uses unambiguous shading/labeling that plainly covers the Mexico City metropolitan area as an area with potential for thunderstorms. Inclusion reported by two or more independent major Mexican news outlets citing SMN's 15:00 map is also acceptable. Ambiguous shading that does not clearly include Valle de México resolves NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 20, 2026. The outcome will be settled against smn.conagua.gob.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 64%, based on 8 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

64%

Predictions made

8

Credits staked

229

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 20, 2026

Closes

Aug 20, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 20, 2026

Resolution source

smn.conagua.gob.mx

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 20, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 64% and NO 36%, based on 8 predictions and 229 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against smn.conagua.gob.mx once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Valle de México be shown as having potential for thunderstorms on August 20?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Valle de México be shown as having potential for thunderstorms on August 20?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.