Will North Korea launch a ballistic missile or publicly declare a weapons test?

34%
-14% last 24h

70%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, no later than October 31, 2026, two or more independent national or international news outlets report that UNAM published an official audit report or an official audit summary/bulletin presenting findings from at least one of the three audits into the 2026 admission‑exam irregularities. An official UNAM bulletin (for example Dirección General de Comunicación Social) or another UNAM institutional publication is preferred. Ordinary news reports that cite and link to a UNAM-published document count. Leaked drafts or reports reported only as leaks do not count unless UNAM formally publishes them by the deadline.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against politica.expansion.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 70%, based on 2 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledConsidering the timeline and the growing scrutiny, I expect UNAM will publish at least one audit report before the deadline. The pressure from media and stakeholders is significant.

34%
-14% last 24h

22%
Stable · last 24h

67%
Stable · last 24h

62%
Stable · last 24h

56%
-5% last 24h

79%
-3% last 24h
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