Will at least one location in mainland Spain see totality during the August 12, 2026 total solar eclipse?

93%
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74%
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YES if Typhoon Dolphin's circulation center is reported to have crossed a Zhejiang Province coastline no later than 11:59 on August 10, 2026 (China Standard Time), otherwise NO. Preferred resolution sources are primary tropical cyclone advisories and post-storm statements from recognized meteorological agencies, preferably the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) or the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA). If reports conflict, priority goes to an explicit advisory or landfall statement from those agencies; impacts alone without an agency or reputable media report that the storm center crossed resolve NO.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven that we're only a few days away from the resolution and no reports yet indicating that Typhoon Dolphin has made landfall, I doubt it will happen.

93%
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31%
Stable · last 24h

31%
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63%
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46%
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44%
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