Will ChatGPT be the #1 free app in the US App Store on September 11?

49%
+4% last 24h

56%
Stable · last 24h
YES if Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) appears among the five companies with the highest numeric market-cap values in the first Nasdaq stock screener reading observed at or after 15:00 UTC on Monday, September 14, 2026. Use the numeric market-cap values shown in that Nasdaq reading to identify the fifth-largest displayed numeric value, and count ties at that value as in the top five. If the screener displays combined market-cap figures for multi-class issuers, use the combined figures as shown. If the screener shows no numeric market-cap for TSM (for example due to delisting or ticker removal), or if fewer than five companies on the screener display numeric market-cap values and TSM is not among them, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 14, 2026. The outcome will be settled against nasdaq.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 56%, based on 36 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledTSM needs a 25% jump to crack the top five, which seems unlikely given current market trends. It's on the outside looking in right now.

49%
+4% last 24h

56%
Stable · last 24h

81%
Stable · last 24h

55%
Stable · last 24h

36%
Stable · last 24h

48%
Stable · last 24h
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