Will Tropical Storm Norbert reach hurricane strength (Category 1 or higher)?

🤖 Context

YES if, at any time no later than September 16, 2026, the tropical cyclone the National Hurricane Center designated as "Norbert" is shown in NHC operational advisories or in the NHC best-track/final Tropical Cyclone Report to have had maximum 1‑minute sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Saffir‑Simpson Category 1 or higher). "Sustained wind" means the NHC standard 1‑minute measure; gusts alone do not count. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 11, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 17, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 67%, based on 3 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

67%

Predictions made

3

Credits staked

35

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 11, 2026

Closes

Sep 11, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 17, 2026

Resolution source

foxweather.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 11, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 17, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 67% and NO 33%, based on 3 predictions and 35 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against foxweather.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Tropical Storm Norbert reach hurricane strength (Category 1 or higher)?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Tropical Storm Norbert reach hurricane strength (Category 1 or higher)?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.