Will Amazon Leo have 400 or more satellites in orbit by Aug 31, 2026?

64%
-1% last 24h

70%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the National Hurricane Center or another official tropical cyclone warning center issues an advisory stating Tropical Storm Karina's maximum sustained winds reached at least 74 mph (64 kt) at any time no later than 00:00 on August 31, 2026. Use the advisory's published maximum sustained winds. Statements that only report gusts do not count. Post-deadline reanalyses do not count.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 28, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 31, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 70%, based on 49 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledKarina's running out of time to reach hurricane status, and with less than three days to go, I doubt we'll see sustained winds above 74 mph. It’s looking like a no.

64%
-1% last 24h

74%
Stable · last 24h

55%
+19% last 24h

28%
Stable · last 24h

51%
-2% last 24h

72%
-2% last 24h
Cookies on Clutch
We use cookies to measure how Clutch is used and to show ads. Nothing is tracked until you choose. Privacy Policy