Will Tropical Storm Dolly become a hurricane with sustained winds of at least 74 mph?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than 12:00 on September 1, 2026, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) or the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) issues an official operational advisory (public or intermediate) that explicitly calls the cyclone named Dolly a "Hurricane" or reports 1‑minute maximum sustained winds of at least 74 mph. Authoritative wire‑service or mainstream news reports that quote that official advisory also count. Post‑season reanalysis published after the cutoff does not count.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 42%, based on 3 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

42%

Predictions made

3

Credits staked

155

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 29, 2026

Closes

Aug 30, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 1, 2026

Resolution source

foxweather.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 30, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 42% and NO 58%, based on 3 predictions and 155 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against foxweather.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Tropical Storm Dolly become a hurricane with sustained winds of at least 74 mph?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Tropical Storm Dolly become a hurricane with sustained winds of at least 74 mph?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.