🚀Science·SpaceCloses Sep 30 · Results Oct 1
Will Sophie Adenot return to Earth inside a SpaceX Crew Dragon capsule?
69%
+18% last 24h
276 bets · 6.5K credits1
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ScienceOpened Jul 24 · Results Jul 25
Will tropical cyclone Bertha be declared dissipated before July 25, 2026?
63%
Stable · last 24h
📊 118 bettors💎 3.7K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 25🤖 Context
YES if the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) official advisories or the NHC public advisory archive show that the system named Bertha was declared dissipated at or before 12:00 UTC on July 25, 2026, for example by an advisory explicitly stating 'no longer a tropical cyclone' or by the NHC stopping tropical cyclone advisories for Bertha because it has dissipated. If the NHC website is inaccessible at resolution time, the resolver will use the NHC's official PDF advisory archive or other official NHC archive pages for the same timestamp. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes63%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 63% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The NHC's official public advisory titled "Remnants Of Bertha Advisory Number 19" states verbatim "...BERTHA HAS DEGENERATED INTO A TROUGH... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...", (issued 1000 PM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026 / 0300 UTC). This is an explicit NHC declaration that Bertha was no longer a tropical cyclone and that tropical cyclone advisories for it were ended, issued well before 12:00 UTC on July 25, 2026.
Source: nhc.noaa.govKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 63%
- Predictions made
- 118
- Credits staked
- 3,658
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Jul 24, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 25, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 25, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- nhc.noaa.gov
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 21 💎
no way Bertha's hanging around that long. it'll fizzle out by next year for sure. 🌪️
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