Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open men's singles?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 11YES if World Rugby publishes on its official website by 12:00 PM on August 11, 2026 a disciplinary decision stating Tomás Albornoz was sanctioned (any match suspension or monetary fine) in relation to the citing referenced in the L'Équipe article. NO otherwise. If World Rugby publishes only that no further action was taken, the market resolves NO. If World Rugby has not published a final decision by that time but the official competition organiser publishes a final disciplinary decision on its official website by then, that organiser's decision will be used instead.
How markets are built and settled66%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 66% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent news outlets in the supplied evidence report that World Rugby’s disciplinary committee published a final sanction against Tomás Albornoz arising from the incident after the Argentina v England match. The Guardian (in the pool) and French outlets Le Figaro and Nice‑Matin (all dated 2026-08-05) state Albornoz was suspended for four matches and cite World Rugby’s statement; the World Rugby ‘disciplinary update’ page for Albornoz is also present in the evidence. Those independent reports give the decision date as 5 August 2026, which is before the market cut‑off of 11 August 2026 12:00 CEST, so the required final disciplinary decision was published by the deadline.
Source: world.rugbySources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledlol, he’s getting something! rugby doesn’t let stuff slide, and this is a big deal. mark my words! 😂

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