Will there be a government-organized repatriation of migrants from Ceuta to Morocco?

🤖 Context

YES if no later than August 15, 2026 the Spanish central government or an official Spanish government body (for example the Ministry of the Interior) publishes an official press release or statement announcing it will carry out or has begun a government-organized repatriation operation returning people from Ceuta to Morocco, or if such a government-organized repatriation operation is executed and publicly confirmed by those official bodies by that deadline. Voluntary returns run only by NGOs do not count unless the Spanish central government explicitly organizes or designates them. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 42%, based on 9 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

42%

Predictions made

9

Credits staked

165

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 9, 2026

Closes

Aug 15, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 16, 2026

Resolution source

efe.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 15, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 16, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 42% and NO 58%, based on 9 predictions and 165 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against efe.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will there be a government-organized repatriation of migrants from Ceuta to Morocco?” real-money betting?

No. “Will there be a government-organized repatriation of migrants from Ceuta to Morocco?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.