Will there be a federal government shutdown on October 1?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than 00:01 ET on October 1, 2026, Congress passes and the President signs into law one or more continuing resolutions or appropriations measures so there is no lapse of regular annual appropriations causing a federal government shutdown at 00:01 ET on October 1, 2026. This must be shown by official Congressional records (for example Congress.gov) and a White House statement, or by credible reporting from at least two independent news organizations. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against san.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 46%, based on 1 prediction.

Key facts

Crowd probability

46%

Predictions made

1

Credits staked

10

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 4, 2026

Closes

Sep 30, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 1, 2026

Resolution source

san.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 30, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 46% and NO 54%, based on 1 prediction and 10 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against san.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will there be a federal government shutdown on October 1?” real-money betting?

No. “Will there be a federal government shutdown on October 1?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.