Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open men's singles?

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Resolved: No
Results Jul 20YES if The R&A's official final leaderboard for the 2026 Open Championship at Royal Birkdale lists the first-place player(s) and at least one first-place player is shown as representing the United States of America, otherwise NO. If The R&A names co-winners tied for first, the market resolves YES if any co-winner is shown as representing the United States. If The R&A formally cancels the championship or publishes no official winner, the market resolves NO. The market resolves according to The R&A by 22:00 on July 19, 2026.
How markets are built and settled48%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 52% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The R&A’s official event page for Royal Birkdale (TheOpen.com) states that Ryan Fox "claimed the Claret Jug" and describes him as a New Zealander (referring to him as a Kiwi and noting he is the second New Zealander to win The Open). That page therefore shows the first-place player is Ryan Fox (New Zealand), not a player representing the United States, so the official final leaderboard does not list any first-place player as representing the United States by the close of play on 2026-07-19.
Source: theopen.comSources used to resolve this market
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