Will the wildfires in Landes burn more than 1,000 hectares?

🤖 Context

YES if an authoritative public source, such as the Prefecture of Landes, SDIS 40, or the French Ministry of the Interior, or, if there is no single official statement, consistent reporting by at least two major national or regional news organisations (for example Agence France‑Presse, Franceinfo, France 3, Le Monde) states a cumulative burned area strictly greater than 1,000 hectares for the incident(s) in the Landes department no later than 18:00 on August 16, 2026. Otherwise NO. If an authority publishes a numeric range use the number they explicitly give, or the upper bound if an explicit upper bound is stated. If different authoritative sources report different totals the market resolves YES if any authoritative source reports more than 1,000 ha on or before the deadline, and NO if none do.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 16, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 71%, based on 66 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

71%

Predictions made

66

Credits staked

1,844

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 14, 2026

Closes

Aug 16, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 16, 2026

Resolution source

tf1info.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 16, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 16, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 71% and NO 29%, based on 66 predictions and 1.8K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tf1info.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the wildfires in Landes burn more than 1,000 hectares?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the wildfires in Landes burn more than 1,000 hectares?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.