Will the wildfire near Puilaurens be declared contained or extinguished?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than 18:00 on September 6, 2026, the Préfecture de l'Aude or the Aude departmental fire service (SDIS Aude) publishes an official statement, bulletin or press release explicitly declaring the wildfire at or near Puilaurens “fixé”, “maîtrisé”, “sous contrôle” or “éteint” (i.e., contained, under control, or extinguished). If no direct official statement exists, YES also applies if at least two independent major national or regional news organisations (for example AFP, Franceinfo, TF1/LCI, France Télévisions, Le Monde) clearly quote the Préfecture de l'Aude or SDIS Aude as making such a declaration on or before that time. Reports that only say the fire's activity has reduced or slowed without using equivalent language do not qualify. If an authority declares the fire fixed and then reports renewed active fire before 18:00 on September 6, 2026, the latest authoritative status at that cutoff governs the market. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 6, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 6, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 54%, based on 23 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

54%

Predictions made

23

Credits staked

911

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 5, 2026

Closes

Sep 6, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 6, 2026

Resolution source

tf1info.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 6, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 6, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 54% and NO 46%, based on 23 predictions and 911 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tf1info.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the wildfire near Puilaurens be declared contained or extinguished?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the wildfire near Puilaurens be declared contained or extinguished?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.