Will the wildfire near Luglon (Landes) be fully extinguished?

🤖 Context

YES if, on or before 18:00 on August 18, 2026, an official communiqué, press release, or website statement from the Préfecture des Landes, the departmental fire and rescue service (SDIS 40), or the French Ministère de l'Intérieur / Sécurité Civile explicitly states that the wildfire at or near Luglon is "éteint" (fully extinguished), meaning no active flames and firefighting operations have been definitively ended. YES also if at least two major national news agencies (for example AFP, TF1/LCI, Franceinfo) publish reports by that time quoting such an official source. Otherwise NO. Wording such as "maîtrisé", "sous contrôle", or "circonscrit" without an explicit "éteint" does not count.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 18, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 18, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 78%, based on 25 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

78%

Predictions made

25

Credits staked

650

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 15, 2026

Closes

Aug 18, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 18, 2026

Resolution source

tf1info.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 18, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 18, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 78% and NO 22%, based on 25 predictions and 650 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tf1info.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the wildfire near Luglon (Landes) be fully extinguished?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the wildfire near Luglon (Landes) be fully extinguished?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.