Will the USGS raise Kilauea to "WATCH" (heightened alert) or higher before July 25, 2026?

🤖 Context

YES if the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) records the Volcano Alert Level for Kilauea as "WATCH" (heightened alert) or higher at any time on or after July 22, 2026 and before July 25, 2026 according to the USGS Volcano Notification Service (Hans2 notices) or the USGS Volcanoes Program Volcano Updates page. Otherwise NO. If the alert level is not published at the stated resolution time, the market uses the first subsequent USGS publication, and if Kilauea is permanently removed from USGS listings before the outcome window, resolve NO.