Will the US have permanent control over security in Greenland?

🤖 Context

YES if no later than September 26, 2026, the Government of Denmark or the White House publishes an official statement or agreement text that in the same sentence uses the word “permanent” together with “control”, “responsibility”, or “oversight” referring to the US role for security in Greenland, or if two or more independent major news organisations (for example BBC, Reuters, Associated Press) report that Danish officials publicly confirmed the deal gives the US permanent control or permanent responsibility for security in Greenland and cite an official Danish statement or the published agreement text. President Trump’s statements alone do not count unless matched by an official Danish confirmation or by multiple independent reports. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 26, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 27, 2026. The outcome will be settled against bbc.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 28%, based on 353 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

28%

Predictions made

353

Credits staked

11,676

Comments

3

Opened

Sep 19, 2026

Closes

Sep 26, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 27, 2026

Resolution source

bbc.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 26, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 27, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 28% and NO 72%, based on 353 predictions and 11.7K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against bbc.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the US have permanent control over security in Greenland?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the US have permanent control over security in Greenland?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.