Will the US Google more politics than the weather on August 10?

🤖 Context

YES if, for the UTC day August 10, 2026, the number of distinct topics that STARTED trending that day in the Google Trends United States trending-searches feed and are categorized as "politics" is strictly greater than the number of distinct topics that STARTED trending that day and are categorized as "the weather". Ties resolve NO. Counting follows Google Trends' convention that a topic counts for the UTC day it started trending.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 10, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against trends.google.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 40%, based on 2 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

40%

Predictions made

2

Credits staked

60

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 9, 2026

Closes

Aug 10, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 11, 2026

Resolution source

trends.google.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 10, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 11, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 40% and NO 60%, based on 2 predictions and 60 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against trends.google.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the US Google more politics than the weather on August 10?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the US Google more politics than the weather on August 10?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.