Will the US get legal control or an ownership stake in part of Venezuela’s national oil reserves via a signed agreement?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than September 15, 2026, two or more independent authoritative news outlets report that the U.S. government and Venezuelan authorities have publicly announced and acknowledged a legally binding, signed agreement (a treaty, a signed memorandum of understanding, or other legal instrument) that grants the United States legal control, title, or an ownership interest in any specified portion of Venezuela's national oil reserves. Official statements from the U.S. State Department and from the Venezuelan presidency or PDVSA can be used to corroborate reporting, but they are not required. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 16, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against apnews.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 45%, based on 4 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

45%

Predictions made

4

Credits staked

190

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 30, 2026

Closes

Sep 16, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 16, 2026

Resolution source

apnews.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 16, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 16, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 45% and NO 55%, based on 4 predictions and 190 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against apnews.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the US get legal control or an ownership stake in part of Venezuela’s national oil reserves via a signed agreement?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the US get legal control or an ownership stake in part of Venezuela’s national oil reserves via a signed agreement?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.