
EconomyResults Jun 26
Will the U.S. first‑quarter 2026 GDP second estimate growth rate be revised lower than 1.6%?
45%
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Resolution: YES if the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) publishes the **second estimate** for Q1 2026 GDP showing an annualized growth rate **below 1.6%**; NO if it is **1.6% or higher**.
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