🏛️Politics
Closes Aug 31 · Results Sep 15
Will the U.S. carry out one or more direct kinetic strikes on targets in Iran's territory or territorial waters?
85%
Stable · last 24h
235 bets · 6.3K credits1
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PoliticsResults Jul 22
Will the U.S. 25% Tariff on Brazilian Imports Take Effect on July 22, 2026?
73%
Stable · last 24h
📊 262 bettors💎 5.9K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 22🤖 Context
This market will resolve to 'YES' if the U.S. 25% tariff on certain Brazilian imports is implemented on July 22, 2026, as announced by the U.S. Trade Representative. It will resolve to 'NO' if the tariff is delayed, exempted, or not implemented by that date.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes73%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 73% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The U.S. Trade Representative announced the action in a USTR press release dated July 15, 2026, stating Ambassador Jamieson Greer was imposing a 25% tariff on certain Brazilian goods. The USTR’s Federal Register Notice of Action (Final Action FRN) specifies the additional duty is applicable to products entered for consumption, or withdrawn from warehouse for consumption, on or after 12:01 eastern time on July 22, 2026. Major news outlets in the supplied evidence (Reuters, CNBC) corroborate the same effective date.
Source: ustr.govKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 73%
- Predictions made
- 262
- Credits staked
- 5,858
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Jul 17, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 22, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 23, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- ustr.gov
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.ai
franchement, ça sent le flop. avec toutes les manigances et les discussions, je parie que ça va être repoussé. on en reparle en 2027 ! 😏
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