Will the tropical system heading for Hawaii become a hurricane?

🤖 Context

YES if an official advisory issued no later than August 17, 2026, by the National Hurricane Center or the National Weather Service office in Honolulu classifies the system as a hurricane, meaning it records sustained winds at or above hurricane strength and upgrades the system to hurricane. Otherwise NO. A brief official classification is sufficient for YES.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 18, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 33%, based on 1 prediction.

Key facts

Crowd probability

33%

Predictions made

1

Credits staked

10

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 14, 2026

Closes

Aug 15, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 18, 2026

Resolution source

foxweather.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 15, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 18, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 33% and NO 67%, based on 1 prediction and 10 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against foxweather.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the tropical system heading for Hawaii become a hurricane?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the tropical system heading for Hawaii become a hurricane?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.