Will the tropical cyclone 'Edouard' make landfall on the U.S. mainland?

🤖 Context

Resolves YES if, on or before 00:00 on September 2, 2026 (Central Daylight Time), an operational advisory or public statement from the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC/NOAA), the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (CONAGUA‑SMN), or a U.S. state emergency management authority, or multiple independent mainstream news outlets citing those authorities, reports that the center of the cyclone named 'Edouard' moved ashore onto the land of the contiguous United States. "Make landfall" means the cyclone's surface center, as identified in operational advisories, crossed the coastline onto land of one of the 48 contiguous states. If any single authoritative operational advisory or official statement reports landfall before the deadline, the market resolves YES, otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against smn.conagua.gob.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 81%, based on 17 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

81%

Predictions made

17

Credits staked

495

Comments

0

Opened

Sep 1, 2026

Closes

Sep 1, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 2, 2026

Resolution source

smn.conagua.gob.mx

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 2, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 81% and NO 19%, based on 17 predictions and 495 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against smn.conagua.gob.mx once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the tropical cyclone 'Edouard' make landfall on the U.S. mainland?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the tropical cyclone 'Edouard' make landfall on the U.S. mainland?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.