Will Iran publicly accept the U.S. response to its latest offer to end the war?

11%
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58%
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YES if the national leadership of the Partido del Trabajo publicly declares it is ending or withdrawing its electoral alliance with Morena for the 2027 Zacatecas governor race on or after 7:01:14 PM UTC on October 1, 2026 and no later than November 15, 2026. NO otherwise. • The announcement must be a clear public withdrawal or a formal PT press release, or two independent nationwide Mexican news outlets must report that the PT has formally withdrawn. Mere discussion, threats or expressions of consideration do not count. • Source: Partido del Trabajo; independent nationwide Mexican news outlets.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 16, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against politica.expansion.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 58%, based on 456 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledThe PT is unlikely to make a clear public announcement against Morena before the deadline. Internal dynamics suggest they'll prefer to maintain alliances for the upcoming electoral cycle.

11%
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60%
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40%
Stable · last 24h

64%
Stable · last 24h

11%
Stable · last 24h

46%
Stable · last 24h
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