Will the PSOE top 26% in Spain's next national poll?

🤖 Context

Resolves YES if the percentage shown in the 'PSOE' column of the topmost (first) row of the 'Main voting-intention' table on the English Wikipedia article "Opinion polling for the next Spanish general election" as it appears at 00:00 CEST on 4 September 2026 is strictly greater than 26.0 percentage points. Otherwise it resolves NO. Use the exact numeric percentage reported for that topmost poll row. If that row is a combined entry, use the PSOE percentage printed in the combined row. If the poll reports PSOE as exactly 26% or provides no numeric PSOE figure, the market resolves NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 3, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 3, 2026. The outcome will be settled against en.wikipedia.org. For now, the crowd puts YES at 53%, based on 8 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

53%

Predictions made

8

Credits staked

141

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 20, 2026

Closes

Sep 3, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 3, 2026

Resolution source

en.wikipedia.org

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 3, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 3, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 53% and NO 47%, based on 8 predictions and 141 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against en.wikipedia.org once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the PSOE top 26% in Spain's next national poll?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the PSOE top 26% in Spain's next national poll?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.