Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

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YES if, by the resolution date, the LFP publishes an official fixture entry or communiqué naming the Parc des Princes as the venue for the PSG–Stade Rennais return match, or if PSG or Stade Rennais publish an official club statement confirming the Parc des Princes. The LFP official communiqué or fixture list is the preferred authoritative source, and club announcements or reporting by major agencies (L'Équipe, AFP, Reuters) are acceptable corroboration. If official sources name Roazhon Park or another stadium, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 25, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 26, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 66%, based on 79 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith only a few days left, I'm betting on the LFP making the announcement. They've got a track record of sticking with the Parc, so this feels like a safe call.

94%
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50%
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93%
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65%
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29%
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28%
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