Will the PRI poll ahead of Movimiento Ciudadano in Mexico's national poll on Sep 16?

🤖 Context

YES if, in the topmost poll row in the "Recent polls" table of the Wikipedia article "Opinion polling for the 2027 Mexican legislative election" as it appears at 00:00 Central Time (UTC−6) on September 16, 2026, the numeric percentage shown for the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) is strictly greater than the numeric percentage shown for Movimiento Ciudadano (MC). The resolver will apply this test to the topmost most-recent row that reports numeric percentages for both parties. Ties count as NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 16, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against en.wikipedia.org. For now, the crowd puts YES at 31%, based on 5 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

31%

Predictions made

5

Credits staked

65

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 1, 2026

Closes

Sep 16, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 16, 2026

Resolution source

en.wikipedia.org

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 16, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 16, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 31% and NO 69%, based on 5 predictions and 65 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against en.wikipedia.org once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the PRI poll ahead of Movimiento Ciudadano in Mexico's national poll on Sep 16?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the PRI poll ahead of Movimiento Ciudadano in Mexico's national poll on Sep 16?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.