Will the PP lead PSOE by more than 5.9 percentage points on Sep 10?

🤖 Context

YES if, in the single most recent nationwide voting intention poll row listed on the Wikipedia page "Opinion polling for the next Spanish general election" as it appears at 00:00 CEST on 10 September 2026, the PP percentage minus the PSOE percentage is greater than 5.9 points. If the most recent poll row shows only rounded whole numbers, use the numbers as displayed. If either party's percentage is missing or shown only as a range, or if PP minus PSOE equals 5.9, the market resolves NO. The deciding fact should be verifiable from the pollster's published release or standard reporting in major Spanish news outlets.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against en.wikipedia.org. For now, the crowd puts YES at 33%, based on 27 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

33%

Predictions made

27

Credits staked

861

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 26, 2026

Closes

Sep 9, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 9, 2026

Resolution source

en.wikipedia.org

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 33% and NO 67%, based on 27 predictions and 861 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against en.wikipedia.org once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the PP lead PSOE by more than 5.9 percentage points on Sep 10?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the PP lead PSOE by more than 5.9 percentage points on Sep 10?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.