Will the PP be ahead of PSOE in Spain's national poll on September 19?

🤖 Context

YES if the topmost poll row in the 'Recent polls' voting-intention table on the Wikipedia page "Opinion polling for the next Spanish general election", as displayed at or after 00:00 CEST on September 19, 2026, shows the People's Party (PP) with a strictly higher numeric percentage than the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE). Ties (equal percentages, including equal after rounding to the precision the table displays) resolve NO. If the topmost poll row does not show a single numeric percentage for either party (blank, “—”, a range, or “N/A”), the market resolves NO. The Wikipedia page named above is the resolution source.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 18, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 18, 2026. The outcome will be settled against en.wikipedia.org. For now, the crowd puts YES at 67%, based on 9 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

67%

Predictions made

9

Credits staked

305

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 4, 2026

Closes

Sep 18, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 18, 2026

Resolution source

en.wikipedia.org

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 18, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 18, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 67% and NO 33%, based on 9 predictions and 305 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against en.wikipedia.org once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the PP be ahead of PSOE in Spain's national poll on September 19?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the PP be ahead of PSOE in Spain's national poll on September 19?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.