Will the PP be #1 in Spain's national poll on August 31?

🤖 Context

YES if the most‑recent national poll row in the 'Recent polls' voting‑intention table on the Wikipedia page 'Opinion polling for the next Spanish general election', as it appears on September 1, 2026 at 00:00 CEST, shows the People's Party (PP) percentage strictly greater than the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) percentage. Otherwise NO, and if the most‑recent poll row lacks a numeric percentage for PP or PSOE or shows identical percentages, the market resolves NO. If multiple polls share the latest fieldwork end date, use the topmost row.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 31, 2026. The outcome will be settled against en.wikipedia.org. For now, the crowd puts YES at 76%, based on 9 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

76%

Predictions made

9

Credits staked

300

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 17, 2026

Closes

Aug 31, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 31, 2026

Resolution source

en.wikipedia.org

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 31, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 31, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 76% and NO 24%, based on 9 predictions and 300 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against en.wikipedia.org once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the PP be #1 in Spain's national poll on August 31?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the PP be #1 in Spain's national poll on August 31?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.