Will North Korea launch a ballistic missile or publicly declare a weapons test?

30%
-6% last 24h

64%
Stable · last 24h
YES if official session minutes or a Cámara de Diputados press release, or reporting by two or more independent Mexican national news outlets, state that on September 9, 2026 (local date) a Plenary session convened whose published or actual start time was between 10:00 and 12:00 America/Mexico_City (UTC−05:00) and that the session included opening or continuation of debate on the 'Glosa' of the Second Government Report. If the session briefly convened but was suspended or cancelled before any debate on the Glosa occurred, resolve NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against facebook.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 64%, based on 9 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the importance of the 'Glosa' debate, it's highly likely the Plenary will convene today. Expect confirmation from multiple sources soon.

30%
-6% last 24h

29%
Stable · last 24h

42%
Stable · last 24h

76%
Stable · last 24h

69%
+12% last 24h

62%
+11% last 24h
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