Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

90%
Stable · last 24h

44%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, no later than October 15, 2026, Google's official Pixel Feature Drop announcement, Google Support pages, or Google's software update changelog explicitly state that HiLight on the Pixel 11 Pro supports composing or sending messages (SMS, RCS, or via Google Messages) and that the update enabling this capability has been released to Pixel 11 Pro users in at least one country. If Google renames HiLight, the market resolves YES only if Google's documentation describes an equivalent messaging capability for the Pixel 11 Pro by the deadline. Otherwise NO. Reports from mainstream tech outlets that quote or link to Google's documentation are acceptable evidence.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5google.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 44%, based on 11 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledIt's unlikely that HiLight will support messaging features based on past updates and limited time left. Google usually saves such announcements for major events, not minor updates.

90%
Stable · last 24h

60%
Stable · last 24h

49%
Stable · last 24h

72%
Stable · last 24h

58%
Stable · last 24h

35%
Stable · last 24h
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