Will the Parti socialiste set a date for a left‑wing primary?

🤖 Context

YES if the Parti socialiste publishes an official, dated announcement that sets and publishes a calendar date for a "primaire de la gauche" no later than November 30, 2026. The market accepts the Parti socialiste's official announcement as the resolution source, with corroboration allowed from major French national outlets such as Franceinfo, AFP or Le Monde. A statement saying the primary is "being discussed" or "under study" without a firm date does not count.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Dec 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 53%, based on 22 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

53%

Predictions made

22

Credits staked

408

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 12, 2026

Closes

Nov 30, 2026

Expected resolution

Dec 1, 2026

Resolution source

franceinfo.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 30, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Dec 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 53% and NO 47%, based on 22 predictions and 408 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against franceinfo.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the Parti socialiste set a date for a left‑wing primary?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the Parti socialiste set a date for a left‑wing primary?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.