Will “Toy Story 5” gross over $250 million worldwide by August 31, 2026?

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Stable · last 24h

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Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 21YES if the film listed at Rank 1 on Box Office Mojo's weekend chart for 2026W29, the weekend of July 17–19, 2026, shows Weeks = 1 on that chart, indicating it is in its first week of release. If Box Office Mojo shows a tie for Rank 1 and at least one tied film has Weeks = 1, resolve YES. Otherwise resolve NO. If Box Office Mojo does not publish a 2026W29 weekend chart by 12:00 PM on July 21, 2026 Eastern Time, the market will be resolved using Box Office Mojo's first official published weekend chart for 2026W29 once it is posted.
How markets are built and settled30%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 70% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: The film at Rank 1 on Box Office Mojo's Weekend Chart for 2026W29 (July 17–19, 2026) must show Weeks = 1. Target: Box Office Mojo weekend chart for 2026W29 (July 17–19, 2026). Observed: Box Office Mojo's 2026W29 page lists Rank 1 = 'The Odyssey' and its Weeks column = 1. No tie for Rank 1 is shown. Comparison: Weeks value (1) equals the required value (1) → condition met. Therefore the market resolves YES.
Source: boxofficemojo.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledoh for sure, the summer blockbuster season usually brings out the big guns. expect a shiny new release to take the crown 🎬

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