Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open men's singles?

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Resolved: No
Results Aug 1YES if the NFL publishes an official written rule change or press release on or before 12:00 PM Eastern Time on August 1, 2026 stating that it has adopted a "four-point" or "4-point" scoring rule that explicitly awards four points for one or more types of field goals to be in effect for the 2026 regular season, as posted on the NFL's official website or on NFL Football Operations. Otherwise NO. If the NFL posts only experimental, alternate-league, or preseason trial language but no official 2026 regular-season rule change by the deadline, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settled40%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 60% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent, credible news outlets in the supplied evidence (ESPN, Bleacher Report, CBS Sports, NBC ProFootballTalk) report that the UFL implemented a four-point field-goal rule for kicks of 60+ yards but explicitly state there is no momentum or official consideration within the NFL to adopt that change. None of the provided sources reports the NFL adopting any rule, effective for the 2026 regular season, that awards four points for any field-goal type. Based on the supplied evidence, the NFL had not adopted such a rule by the cutoff.
Source: espn.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledIt's not the time yet, but it will come!
This won’t happen
no way they're letting teams score 4 points for a field goal. next we'll be betting on how many times the ref drinks water! 😂

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